Monday, April 21, 2008

Sweet 16 - Final Edition

Ok, this is the last edition on the top 16 teams in college football history. I’m going to rank the teams 1-16 (and the nation eagerly awaits) based on the following criteria.

  • All time wins – it matters

  • MNC’s – 3x bonus for legitimate national championships

  • Conference championships – Gotta have ‘em

  • Wins vs Sweet 16 – tougher games count more

  • Win pct vs Sweet 16 – win the tough ones

  • Games played vs Sweet 16 – will affect overall win totals and pct drastically

  • Win pct in conference – sets the tone for the entire season

  • Games played OOC vs BCS – more is better

  • Win pct vs OOC BCS opponents – pretty important

  • Games vs Non BCS opponents – less is better, once again affecting overall wins and pct

  • Overall win pct – it’s why we keep score


Let me preface this with the Notre Dame factor. They get totally shut out of conference championships and conference win %. Also, they obviously were at the top of Non-Conference BCS games played. I don’t know of a “fair” way to handle this, but since they ended up close to the top of this list, I gave them the average points in those columns of the other 2 programs that were heads and shoulders above the rest. The Florida State results are largely due to the fact that the program didn’t start until 1954. The other programs had a huge head start to rack up numbers, but I did not feel that there was any basis for adjustment. Texas suffers a huge blow with the dissolving of the SWC and loses all of those BCS games played. Penn St suffers in the conference title category due to their being independent for so long. Ditto with Miami and FSU, however they racked up some pretty nice totals playing in their very weak conferences since the early 90’s.

The rules. 16 points for leading a category thru 1 point for being last. As noted, legitimate MNC’s get a 3x bonus (it may be worth more, and may have shaken the order up a little). End of rules.


The List

NUMERO UNO

  1. MICHIGAN 163

  2. ALABAMA 160

  3. NOTRE DAME 159

  4. OKLAHOMA 134

  5. USC 133

  6. NEBRASKA 128

  7. TEXAS 115

  8. OHIO STATE 114

  9. TENNESSEE 112

  10. GEORGIA 107

  11. FLORIDA 89

  12. MIAMI 88

  13. AUBURN 85

  14. PENN STATE 79

  15. FLORIDA STATE 77

  16. LSU 76

I think that the criteria used for this list is fair. How did my final rankings end up as compared to the Billingsley List?

  1. MICHIGAN +1

  2. ALABAMA +2

  3. NOTRE DAME -2

  4. OKLAHOMA +3

  5. USC =

  6. NEBRASKA +2

  7. TEXAS -1

  8. OHIO STATE -5

  9. TENNESSEE =

  10. GEORGIA +2

  11. FLORIDA +8

  12. MIAMI +3

  13. AUBURN +1

  14. PENN STATE -3

  15. FLORIDA STATE -5

  16. LSU -3

That’s not too far off. And no, I didn’t jack any team’s numbers. I did start knowing that Notre Dame, Michigan, and Alabama would be the top 3. That didn’t take any rocket science, but I was pretty sure that Alabama would end up on top. Didn’t happen.

Other numbers that I didn’t jack up (or down as the case might be) that should be taken into consideration.


  • Ohio St and Michigan sharing 74 Big 10 titles…….weak conference

  • Nebraska and Oklahoma sharing 74 Big 8 titles…..another weak conference

  • Texas racking up 27 SWC conference titles vs the likes of TCU, Houston, SMU, Rice, and Baylor….......need I say more?

  • FSU winning 12 out of 14 ACC titles from 1992-2005…..no resistance at all

  • FSU winning 83 of 88 conference games 94.3% from 1992-2002......8 gimme wins per year

All of this will be discussed in an upcoming post on winning national championships.

This post has been based on opinion. The rest of the series has been all fact, numbers that anyone can look up. Feel free to leave a comment with your opinion of the criteria that I’ve used, the relative importance thereof, or just your opinion of my opinions.

Since it’s going to be a long offseason, I’ll probably put together the stats and do this all again starting with the “modern era” commonly recognized as from 1970. Those numbers will probably take at least a week to put together. Will any new players reach the top 16? How will the rankings change? I’m sure that the 3 Florida schools will jump to the top, but the rest will have to wait.

But as for the Sweet 16…….that’s a wrap.

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